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Pension Funds: Adapting to Longevity Risk and Low Yields

Pension Funds: Adapting to Longevity Risk and Low Yields

01/08/2026
Felipe Moraes
Pension Funds: Adapting to Longevity Risk and Low Yields

In an era marked by increasing life expectancies and persistently low interest rates, pension funds face a dual challenge that threatens the financial security of millions.

Adapting to these realities requires innovative strategies and bold shifts in investment approaches.

This article delves into how pension funds are navigating longevity risk and low yields, offering practical insights to inspire confidence and resilience.

The Rising Tide of Longevity Risk

The number of Americans living to age 100 is projected to quadruple by 2054, yet financial planning has lagged behind.

This mismatch puts retirees at significant risk of outliving their savings, a fear shared by approximately 75% of surveyed individuals.

Research indicates that extending retirement by just five years can increase the risk of running out of money by 41%.

To address this, pension funds must recalibrate their assumptions and tools.

  • Key statistics show that only 29% of people want to live to 100, citing health and financial concerns.
  • With inflation and lower projected returns, 40% now plan to delay retirement.
  • Confidence in retirement is boosted by working with advisers and having guaranteed income sources.

These trends underscore the urgent need for proactive adaptation.

Navigating Regulatory Changes in 2026

The IRS has issued updated static mortality tables for 2026, reflecting latest mortality assumptions and improvements based on pension plan experience.

These tables are essential for calculating pension liabilities and funding targets, directly influencing how much money must be set aside.

A modified, unisex version must be used for distributions with annuity starting dates in 2026.

Small plans can use these tables, while larger ones typically rely on generational mortality tables.

The PBGC also updated rules for retirement age determinations in 2026, ensuring alignment with these changes.

Strategic Portfolio Shifts for Stability

Pension funds are gradually reducing equity and bond weightings, with allocations to private markets and alternatives rising to around 20%.

This shift aims to enhance yield and diversification in low-yield environments.

  • Average allocation at end-2024: 45% equities, 33% bonds, 20% others, 2% cash.
  • Interest rate hedge ratios increased above 75% between 2023 and 2025.
  • Post-transfer, funds may unwind hedges, reducing demand for long-duration assets.

Fixed income remains a core anchor, with strategies evolving to include investment-grade credit and inflation-linked bonds.

A migration towards structured finance, such as Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs), is underway for better risk management.

Embracing Private Markets for Growth

Private markets are becoming a key component of pension portfolios, offering yield and downside protection.

Allocations to private credit, infrastructure, and real estate are expanding through external specialists and co-investments.

  • Private credit is top for net inflows, used for diversification and yield enhancement.
  • Infrastructure debt and equity gain interest for inflation linkage and energy transition exposure.
  • Private equity sees moderate increases, with focus on secondaries for liquidity.

Talent gaps in private markets are addressed via partnerships, ensuring effective management.

This expansion supports sustainability goals, including energy efficiency and community benefits.

Global Adaptations and Innovations

Different regions are adopting tailored strategies to address local challenges.

In the UK, de-risked defined benefit frameworks and scaled defined contribution plans are leading reforms.

The Netherlands is transitioning its €1.6 trillion system to defined contribution, with over half migrating by mid-2026.

  • Scandinavia focuses on thematic infrastructure and private credit with high sustainability standards.
  • Germany gradually embraces illiquid investments and liability-driven strategies.
  • Australia maintains equity-heavy portfolios with domestic investment initiatives.
  • US defined contribution plans broaden equity tolerance and integrate insurance guarantees.

These adaptations highlight a global move towards more flexible and resilient pension structures.

Building Resilient Retirement Solutions

Retirement income solutions are evolving to provide security amidst uncertainty.

Target-date funds are incorporating more diverse assets, and in-plan infrastructure is being enhanced for better outcomes.

Practical steps include diversifying income sources and leveraging technology for data-driven decisions.

  • Use of guaranteed income products like annuities to mitigate longevity risk.
  • Integration of artificial intelligence models for improved investment forecasting.
  • Focus on lifecycle designs that retain equity exposure while managing risk.

By embracing innovation and collaboration, pension funds can build a future where retirees thrive.

This journey requires courage and adaptability, but the rewards are financial stability and peace of mind for generations to come.

Felipe Moraes

About the Author: Felipe Moraes

Felipe Moraes is a financial analyst and content creator at lowerandwider.com. Focused on budgeting and economic planning, he develops practical articles that help readers improve their financial organization and build long-term stability.