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Leverage thematic funds for exposure to future trends

Leverage thematic funds for exposure to future trends

06/12/2025
Marcos Vinicius
Leverage thematic funds for exposure to future trends

Investors today seek ways to capture tomorrow’s growth today. Thematic funds offer a pathway to align portfolios with long-term global shifts and emerging innovations.

Definition and Structure

Thematic funds invest in companies united by a central idea or long-term trend. These themes range from artificial intelligence and clean energy to healthcare innovation and ESG.

Unlike sector funds that focus on a single industry, thematic funds are diversified across multiple sectors but bound by a common narrative. Fund managers actively research and select firms poised to capitalize on the theme’s evolution.

This active management expertise level ensures that portfolios adapt as technology, policy, and consumer behavior shift over time. Managers may add or remove holdings to maintain thematic integrity.

Market Data and Growth

Assets under management (AUM) in U.S.-listed thematic funds soared from $9.7 billion in 2014 to $92.7 billion in 2024, a nearly tenfold rise in a decade. This explosive growth underscores investor appetite for targeted exposure to future trends.

Performance in Q1 2025 has been diverse. Pharma Breakthrough leads the pack, while Cyber Security Innovation, Artificial Intelligence, and Robotics & Automation experienced corrections after strong rallies in 2024. Clean Energy & Clean Water funds delivered flat returns, reflecting mixed market sentiment.

Benefits of Thematic Funds

  • Potential for high returns by focusing on structural growth areas such as green energy or digital transformation.
  • Active management expertise level to rebalance portfolios when themes accelerate or stall.
  • Opportunity for long-term structural growth participation aligned with demographic shifts, policy changes, and technological adoption.
  • Alignment with personal values through ESG, clean energy, or healthcare innovation themes.
  • Exposure to global trends regardless of geographic boundaries, enabling broad market participation.

Risks and Challenges

  • High volatility and concentration risk due to focused exposure on a narrow set of companies tied to the theme.
  • Only 22% of thematic funds survived and outperformed global equities over one year to mid-2024, dropping to just 9% over three years.
  • High fees typical of active management can erode long-term returns compared to low-cost index funds.
  • Potential for fund closures is significant: 55% of thematic funds failed to survive a 15-year period to mid-2024.

Given these challenges, investors must possess a high-risk-tolerant investors with conviction profile and stay informed about theme developments.

Types of Popular Themes and Performance

As of Q1 2025, several themes stand out. Pharma Breakthrough has led returns, driven by innovation in drug discovery and biotechnology. Cyber Security and AI themes corrected after rapid gains, while Clean Energy & Clean Water remain in investor focus despite modest short-term performance.

Additional areas gaining traction include Battery Value-Chain, Hydrogen, Ecommerce Logistics, Digital India, and Rural Trends. ESG investing continues to evolve, reflecting policy support and consumer preferences globally.

Comparing Thematic, Sector, and Index Funds

Investors should understand how thematic funds differ from other vehicles:

Investor Suitability and Profile

  • High-risk-tolerant investors seeking concentrated exposure to future trends.
  • Those with a long-term structural growth participation perspective and a horizon of five years or more.
  • Experienced investors or those working with professional advisors to monitor evolving themes.
  • Individuals eager to align investments with personal values and macroeconomic shifts.

Current and Future Trends

Emerging technologies and societal shifts continue to drive thematic interest. Climate-related investing is gaining impetus from policy, regulation, and corporate scenario planning—exemplified by major multinationals modeling transition risks and opportunities for the decade ahead.

Looking ahead, digital transformation in emerging markets, next-generation healthcare platforms, and sustainable infrastructure stand as pillars of future thematic strategies. Staying informed on regulatory changes and innovation cycles will be key to capturing these opportunities.

Conclusion

Thematic funds offer a compelling route to harness structural rather than cyclical changes across the global economy. By choosing themes aligned with long-term trends, investors can pursue high-growth opportunities while managing risk through diversified, actively managed portfolios.

Ultimately, success with thematic funds hinges on diligent research, patience, and a clear vision of future growth drivers. For those prepared to embrace volatility and commit to a lengthy horizon, thematic investing can transform portfolio exposure into a reflection of tomorrow’s most powerful trends.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius