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International equity flows favor Asia-Pacific

International equity flows favor Asia-Pacific

07/14/2025
Marcos Vinicius
International equity flows favor Asia-Pacific

In recent months, global investors have demonstrated a clear shift in focus away from traditional markets and toward the dynamic Asia-Pacific region. This trend reflects a combination of attractive valuations, robust growth prospects, and evolving geopolitical landscapes. As capital reallocates, understanding the drivers and opportunities is essential for those seeking to stay ahead of the curve.

Recent international equity flows

April 2025 marked a watershed moment for Asia-Pacific equities. International inflows into Asia equity ETFs reached USD 33.3 billion, surpassing the USD 31.0 billion channeled into US equivalents and dwarfing the USD 9.1 billion directed toward European markets. This data underscores a notable shift in investor preference toward the fastest-growing region.

Japan, in particular, emerged as a standout destination. Driven by a so-called de-dollarization trade and compelling local fundamentals, Japan attracted a record USD 57 billion into equities and bonds—its largest monthly inflow ever. Despite these inflows, many portfolios remain underweight relative to historical norms, suggesting further potential for rebalancing.

Market valuations and growth outlook

Asia-Pacific equities currently trade at trough valuation multiples compared to US peers, creating an environment ripe for attractive value-focused strategies. Price-to-earnings ratios hover at decade-low levels, inviting investors to capitalize on potential mean reversion.

On the growth front, regional GDP is forecast to expand by around 3.7% in 2025—outpacing expectations for both the United States and Europe. While trade headwinds pose challenges, supportive macroeconomic policy is in place. China, India, and Indonesia have embarked on fiscal expansions, while inflation pressures continue to ease. Central banks in several markets are signaling potential rate cuts, which could further bolster liquidity and consumption.

Trade and geopolitical dynamics

The Asia-Pacific region remains deeply integrated into global trade flows. Key export economies such as Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand face expiring reciprocal tariff pauses in early July 2025, which could see duties ranging from 24% to 46% reinstated. Negotiations are underway to extend tariff relief and prevent disruption.

Meanwhile, the US administration is pursuing a diplomatic approach toward China, aiming to revert to baseline 10% tariffs originally implemented in 2018. This potential détente could reduce uncertainty for exporters and supply-chain participants.

Structural trade shifts are also evident. While the US trade deficit with China has narrowed, American deficits with India and ASEAN nations have grown, reflecting a broader diversification of supply chains. Technological advancements and geopolitical realignments are driving firms to seek more resilient production footprints across Southeast Asia and South Asia.

Investor intentions and market sentiment

The 2025 Asia Pacific Investor Intentions Survey revealed growing enthusiasm for regional real estate and equity investments. Over half of respondents plan to increase real estate allocations in 2025, particularly in Australia, Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong SAR, Japan, and India.

  • Majority expect an ongoing interest rate cut cycle to spur investment
  • Japan and India set to lead with robust buying activity
  • Strategies vary from core/core-plus in mature markets to opportunistic in emerging economies

Despite lingering caution in certain sectors, sentiment indicators point to a reacceleration of portfolio rebalancing toward Asia-Pacific, driven by relative valuations and growth potential.

Private equity resurgence

Private equity dealmaking in Asia-Pacific reached USD 138 billion in 2024, an 8.1% increase from the prior year and the second-best performance of the past decade. This rebound highlights sustained investor appetite for unlisted assets.

Regional divergence was pronounced. India recorded double-digit growth in both deal value and volume, supported by ongoing reforms and digital economy expansion. Conversely, China’s share of total deal value fell to 27%, as investors grew cautious amid regulatory scrutiny.

  • Fund managers are targeting buyouts for greater operational control
  • Portfolios are shifting toward resilient sectors like communications and financial services
  • Exposure to high-volatility segments such as cloud services is being reduced

Key market opportunities

Within the broad Asia-Pacific universe, specific markets present tailored opportunities for investors willing to navigate unique risks.

  • Japan: With corporate governance improving and wage growth accelerating, mid- and small-cap stocks may offer significant upside potential.
  • China: Despite near-term uncertainties, cheap valuations and the prospect of government stimulus support a contrarian case for select large-cap names.
  • India: Structural reforms, urbanization, and shifting supply chains underpin a long-term growth story, with large-cap companies trading at attractive entry points.

Conclusion: Strategies for forward-looking investors

As global equity flows continue to favor Asia-Pacific, investors face both opportunities and challenges. A disciplined approach that balances valuation, growth, and geopolitical risk can unlock compelling returns.

Consider the following practical steps to position your portfolio:

  • Diversify across key markets, combining broad regional exposure with targeted sector bets
  • Leverage value and growth styles to capture multiple upside drivers
  • Monitor trade negotiations and policy shifts to adjust allocations dynamically
  • Explore private equity vehicles for enhanced returns and portfolio diversification

By embracing a well-researched diversification strategy, investors can harness the region’s long-term growth trajectory and navigate short-term volatility. The Asia-Pacific story is still being written, and its next chapters may hold some of the most rewarding investment opportunities of this decade.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius